Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.002368 0.002503 0.002648 0.002815 0.003002 0.003208 0.003454
2025-05-11 0.002158 0.002342 0.002548 0.002800 0.003103 0.003464 0.003935
2025-05-18 0.002056 0.002278 0.002537 0.002871 0.003298 0.003845 0.004633
2025-05-25 0.001936 0.002176 0.002466 0.002850 0.003367 0.004071 0.005176
2025-06-01 0.001827 0.002075 0.002380 0.002798 0.003381 0.004215 0.005626
2025-06-08 0.001781 0.002047 0.002383 0.002857 0.003548 0.004603 0.006583
2025-06-15 0.001734 0.002013 0.002371 0.002892 0.003683 0.004966 0.007642
2025-06-22 0.001667 0.001946 0.002312 0.002852 0.003696 0.005125 0.008361
2025-06-29 0.001603 0.001881 0.002249 0.002802 0.003684 0.005235 0.009025
2025-07-06 0.001551 0.001829 0.002200 0.002766 0.003692 0.005380 0.009863
2025-07-13 0.001470 0.001734 0.002088 0.002629 0.003515 0.005139 0.009500
2025-07-20 0.001434 0.001699 0.002058 0.002614 0.003544 0.005315 0.010512
2025-07-27 0.001419 0.001695 0.002072 0.002672 0.003714 0.005840 0.013314
2025-08-03 0.001387 0.001665 0.002049 0.002669 0.003775 0.006147 0.015845
2025-08-10 0.001377 0.001664 0.002069 0.002737 0.003980 0.006873 0.022843
2025-08-17 0.001345 0.001632 0.002039 0.002720 0.004016 0.007176 0.028821
2025-08-24 0.001308 0.001590 0.001993 0.002673 0.003985 0.007283 0.033961
2025-08-31 0.001298 0.001587 0.002006 0.002727 0.004170 0.008124 0.069321
2025-09-07 0.001284 0.001577 0.002007 0.002760 0.004317 0.008933 0.317056
2025-09-14 0.001254 0.001544 0.001971 0.002723 0.004302 0.009156 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001224 0.001509 0.001930 0.002677 0.004259 0.009257 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001199 0.001481 0.001899 0.002644 0.004246 0.009481 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001154 0.001422 0.001817 0.002518 0.003999 0.008640 NaN